Disnat - Accueil


July 2014
   
 
Economic Commentary
Desjardins Economic Studies
  Economic forecasts:
The arrival of summer brings much hope


by

FRANÇOIS DUPUIS
Vice-President and Chief Economist

and

BENOIT P. DUROCHER
Senior Economist

  
Desjardins, Economic Studies

Canada's real GDP rose just 1.2% (annualized) in the first quarter of 2014, well below expectations, and domestic demand retreated over the quarter, falling 0.3%. Some indexes suggest, however, that the Canadian economy could return to faster growth as early as the second quarter.

 

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Stocks to Follow
Desjardins Securities Research
 
Analysis by
BENOIT POIRIER
CFA, Analyst






Focus on rails


Trains keep rolling along?positive stance on both Canadian National Railway Company (CN) and Canadian Pacific Railway Limited (CP), with strong results expected for 2014 and beyond

After a difficult winter that negatively impacted railroads, overall volumes are in strong recovery mode. This prompted us to adjust our estimates upward for the quarter and the year (in mid-June).Not only are volumes for grains, coal and intermodal stronger than expected, but crude-by-rail momentum is far from over: CN and CP are on their way to doubling the number of carloads over the next two years. Hence, we expect both companies to report a strong 2014,and for volume and pricing to remain at healthy levels in 2015 and beyond.

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Analysis by
KRISTOPHER ZACK
CPA, CA, CFA, Analyst








Tourmaline Oil Corp.
  • Strong exposure to improved AECO natural gas prices

  • Best-in-class balance sheet

  • Significant production per share growth

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List of Stocks to Follow



Stock TSX
Symbol
Recommendation
and Risk
Target
Price ($)
Market
Cap ($m)
Primero Mining Corp. SPE Buy-AAR 10.00 1,365
Spartan Energy Corp. SPE Buy-AAR 5.00 1,057


See complete list



 
Tax Column
  The Tax Column will not be published in July.
Have a great summer!



 

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