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Stocks to Follow

InterRent Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT)

Analysis by
Michael Markidis
CFA, Analyst

  • Business model involves adding value to existing properties
     
  • Best cash flow growth profile in our coverage universe
     
  • Room for significant distribution hike
     
 
Rating Buy-Average Risk
12-month target C$8.00
Symbol IIP.UN, TSX
Sector Real Estate
Recent price C$6.53
Total potential return 26%
52-week range C$5.50–6.91
Distribution per unit C$0.22
Distribution yield 3.4%
Units outstanding 70.7m
Market capitalization C$462m
Net asset value (NAV) per unit C$6.50
Premium/(discount) to NAV 0%
Utilized capitalization rate 5.3%
Implied capitalization rate 5.2%
Leverage (incl. convertible debentures) 51.5%
Year-end Dec-31
FFO1 per unit 2015E
2016E
C$0.35
C$0.44
Price/FFO 2015E
2016E
18.4x
14.9x
AFFO2 per unit 2015E
2016E
C$0.31
C$0.39
Price/AFFO 2015E
2016E
21.2x
16.9x
1 Funds from operations
2 Adjusted funds from operations
Source: Desjardins Capital Markets, Cap IQ, Bloomberg, FactSet

InterRent is an Ottawa-based owner of multi-family residential rental properties with a geographic footprint that is concentrated in primary and secondary markets in Ontario and Québec. Including properties under development, the portfolio encompasses ~8,300 suites with a value exceeding C$1.1b based on International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). We believe that InterRent is an attractive investment opportunity that should appeal to growth-oriented income investors. It has the best near-term earnings growth profile in our REIT coverage universe, and we see the potential for a 5–10% distribution increase over the next several months.

Since taking over in late 2009, management has established InterRent as one of the leading value creators in Canadian REIT-land. The REIT’s external property manager, Ottawa-based CLV Group (helmed by InterRent’s CEO Mike McGahan), was instrumental in the turnaround of what was previously a moribund vehicle. Over the past three years, InterRent has developed a two-pronged growth strategy: (1) increasing its presence in three core markets (Greater Toronto Area, Ottawa and Montréal), and
(2) acquiring well-located but often poorly managed properties where returns can be substantially improved through active management and capital improvement programs.

An example of the REIT’s value-creation philosophy is evident in LIV Apartments, the C$100m redevelopment of a 440-suite property located in Ottawa that was acquired in early 2013. Management vacated the entire property and completely redeveloped the asset. The project is nearing completion, with lease-up progressing well and stabilization expected in the second half of 2016. Combined with ongoing repositioning of other properties acquired in 2014–15, we expect LIV to drive above-average cash flow and net asset value (NAV) growth over the next two years.

The REIT’s annual distribution of C$0.22 per unit (paid monthly) provides investors with a cash yield of 3.4%. Given an estimated 2016 adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) payout ratio of just 57%, we have a high degree of confidence in the sustainability of the distribution going forward and expect a 5–10% distribution hike in the near term.

InterRent trades at a 5.2% implied capitalization rate and in line with our C$6.50 net asset value. Our C$8.00 target is based on a ~20% premium to NAV and equates to 20.5–21x our 2016 AFFO. InterRent is rated Buy–Average Risk.

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